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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 29
Jul 15, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Gazprom Arena

Zenit
4 - 1
Orenburg

Malykh (2' og.), Azmoun (61', 77'), Dzyuba (90+1')
Ozdoyev (34'), Prokhin (52'), Shamkin (73'), Rakitskiy (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fameyeh (32')
Shakhov (30'), Fameyeh (36'), Terekhov (65'), Skoflek (90')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Orenburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawOrenburg
71.03%17.71%11.26%
Both teams to score 48.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08%63.92%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58%10.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01%33.99%
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.93%46.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.22%81.77%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 71.01%
    Orenburg 11.26%
    Draw 17.71%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawOrenburg
2-0 @ 12.27%
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 7.17%
4-0 @ 5.23%
4-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.78%
5-0 @ 2.37%
5-1 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 71.01%
1-1 @ 8.42%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.72%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.26%


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