Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.