SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Al-Hilal win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Al-Hilal |
66.02% ( 0.04) | 18.94% ( -0.03) | 15.04% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 0.13) | 38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( 0.14) | 60.26% ( -0.13) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( 0.05) | 10.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.34% ( 0.11) | 34.66% ( -0.1) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.07) | 38.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( 0.07) | 74.8% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.52% Total : 66.02% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.04% |
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