SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al-Ahli |
12.8% ( -0.43) | 16.87% ( -0.11) | 70.33% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.6) | 33.22% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.03% ( -0.69) | 54.97% ( 0.7) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -1.04) | 38.05% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( -1.02) | 74.81% ( 1.03) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.57% ( -0.03) | 8.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.72% ( -0.09) | 29.28% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.83% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.87% | 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.09% ( 0.21)0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 7.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.33% |
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