Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Ahli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
20.14% ( 0.06) | 22.87% ( 0.13) | 56.99% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.31) |
| 53% ( -0.46) | 47% ( 0.46) |
| 30.75% ( -0.43) | 69.25% ( 0.43) |
| 62.51% ( -0.2) | 37.49% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.73% ( -0.19) | 74.27% ( 0.2) |
| 83.74% ( -0.22) | 16.26% ( 0.22) |
