Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
20.14% ( 0.06) | 22.87% ( 0.13) | 56.99% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( -0.46) | 47% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% ( -0.43) | 69.25% ( 0.43) |
Al Fateh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( -0.2) | 37.49% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( -0.19) | 74.27% ( 0.2) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% ( -0.22) | 16.26% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.2% ( -0.41) | 45.8% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.14% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.98% |
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