SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al-Ahli |
28.7% ( -0.23) | 25.74% | 45.56% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( -0.12) | 51.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.11) | 73.08% ( 0.11) |
| Al Okhdood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.24) | 32.29% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( -0.27) | 68.8% ( 0.27) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.05) | 22.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.08) | 56% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.56% |
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