SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
52.42% ( -0.06) | 24.85% ( 0.09) | 22.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.37) | 52.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.32) | 73.85% ( 0.32) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.17) | 19.87% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.27) | 51.97% ( 0.27) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.23) | 37.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.22) | 74.59% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.72% |
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