SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Al Raed win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al Raed |
55.49% ( -0.17) | 22.74% ( 0.1) | 21.77% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.34) | 44.39% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.33) | 66.76% ( 0.33) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( -0.18) | 15.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.94% ( -0.33) | 45.05% ( 0.33) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.12) | 34.39% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.9% ( -0.13) | 71.1% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al Raed |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.77% |
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