SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Nassr |
49.31% ( -1.15) | 20.82% ( 0.39) | 29.87% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 70.91% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.5% ( -1.43) | 27.49% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.89% ( -1.81) | 48.11% ( 1.81) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -0.83) | 11.9% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.76% ( -1.79) | 37.24% ( 1.79) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( -0.32) | 19.51% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( -0.53) | 51.39% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.31% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 29.87% |
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