SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 80.37%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 7.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Damac |
| 80.37% | 12.16% ( 0.07) | 7.46% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.7) | 26.18% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.9) | 46.44% ( 0.9) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95% ( -0.14) | 4.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.04% ( -0.4) | 19.95% ( 0.4) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.76) | 42.87% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.81% ( -0.65) | 79.18% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Damac |
| 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.32% 5-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.71% Total : 80.37% | 1-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.16% | 1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 7.46% |
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