SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Hilal |
12.65% ( 0.04) | 16.3% ( 0.07) | 71.04% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.29) | 30.63% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.04% ( -0.34) | 51.95% ( 0.33) |
| Al Kholood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.14) | 36.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( -0.14) | 73.26% ( 0.13) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.35% ( -0.1) | 7.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.7% ( -0.24) | 27.29% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.66% | 1-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.3% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 71.04% |
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