SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-3 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Hilal |
16.73% ( -1.48) | 18.63% ( -0.31) | 64.63% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.01% ( -1.25) | 32.99% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.29% ( -1.45) | 54.71% ( 1.44) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( -2.36) | 32.81% ( 2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -2.71) | 69.38% ( 2.7) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( 0.07) | 9.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.77% ( 0.17) | 32.23% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.93% Total : 16.73% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 7.52% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.5)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.5)1-4 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.84% ( 0.15)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.74% Total : 64.63% |
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