SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Nassr |
38.54% ( -0.4) | 25.78% ( 0.07) | 35.67% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.26) | 49.27% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( -0.24) | 71.33% ( 0.23) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.33) | 25.08% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.46) | 59.77% ( 0.46) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( 0.07) | 26.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( 0.09) | 61.95% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.67% |
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