SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al Ittihad |
36.18% ( -0.08) | 25.44% ( 0.17) | 38.38% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.76) | 47.71% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.7) | 69.91% ( 0.7) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( -0.4) | 25.67% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( -0.55) | 60.57% ( 0.54) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.39) | 24.46% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( -0.55) | 58.91% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.38% |
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