SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
35.23% ( 0.09) | 24.98% ( -0.16) | 39.79% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( 0.72) | 45.74% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.68) | 68.05% ( -0.69) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( 0.39) | 25.29% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( 0.54) | 60.05% ( -0.54) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.35) | 22.85% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( 0.51) | 56.58% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.79% |
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