SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fateh |
62.68% ( 0.17) | 20.05% ( 0.39) | 17.27% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -2.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( -2.9) | 38.84% ( 2.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( -3.12) | 61.15% ( 3.12) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.82) | 11.85% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.88% ( -1.77) | 37.12% ( 1.77) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( -2.38) | 35.82% ( 2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( -2.53) | 72.59% ( 2.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.69)1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.92)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.33)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.02% Total : 62.68% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.27% |
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