SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 3.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.56%) and 5-0 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-2 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Tai |
90.49% ( -0.06) | 6.29% ( 0.03) | 3.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.01) | 13.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 71.64% ( 0.02) | 28.35% ( -0.02) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.27% ( -0.01) | 1.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 91.28% ( -0.02) | 8.71% ( 0.02) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.16) | 44.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.13) | 80.54% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Tai |
| 4-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 5.72% ( 0)2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)8-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)8-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)7-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 5.29% Total : 90.49% | 1-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 6.29% | 1-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 3.22% |
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