SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
77.35% ( 0.02) | 13.84% ( 0.04) | 8.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70% ( -0.44) | 30% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.81% ( -0.54) | 51.19% ( 0.54) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.71% ( -0.09) | 6.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.32% ( -0.25) | 23.67% ( 0.25) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.46) | 42.8% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -0.39) | 79.13% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.24% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.84% | 1-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.83% Total : 8.81% |
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