SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
82.1% ( 0.28) | 11.27% ( -0.13) | 6.61% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.04) | 24.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0.06) | 44.85% ( 0.05) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.51% ( 0.03) | 4.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.58% ( 0.11) | 18.42% ( -0.11) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.47) | 44.03% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.84% ( -0.39) | 80.15% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 3-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 5.14% Total : 82.11% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.28% | 1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.61% |
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