SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
20.12% ( 0.02) | 21.33% ( -0.02) | 58.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.13) | 40.17% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0.13) | 62.54% ( -0.13) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( 0.09) | 33.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( 0.1) | 70.22% ( -0.1) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.04) | 13.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.56% ( 0.09) | 40.44% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.12% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.54% |
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