Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
20.12% (![]() | 21.33% (![]() | 58.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.82% (![]() | 40.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.45% (![]() | 62.54% (![]() |
Al Fayha Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.42% (![]() | 33.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% (![]() | 70.22% (![]() |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% (![]() | 13.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.56% (![]() | 40.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
2-1 @ 5.4% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.12% | 1-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 9.92% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.54% |
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