SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
7.9% ( -0.48) | 16.7% ( -0.54) | 75.4% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.31% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( 0.67) | 47.42% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( 0.62) | 69.63% ( -0.62) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.98% ( -0.74) | 57.01% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.95% ( -0.42) | 89.05% ( 0.42) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( 0.46) | 10.88% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.99% ( 1) | 35.01% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 1-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.26% Total : 7.9% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.36% Total : 16.7% | 0-2 @ 15.26% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 13.75% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 11.28% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 6.26% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 2.78% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 75.38% |
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