Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-0 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Orubah | Draw | Al-Hilal |
11.72% ( -0.11) | 17.46% ( 0.12) | 70.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.94% ( -0.89) | 39.06% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% ( -0.94) | 61.38% ( 0.94) |
Al Orubah Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.34% ( -0.77) | 43.66% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.15% ( -0.65) | 79.84% ( 0.65) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.17% ( -0.24) | 9.82% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.38% ( -0.55) | 32.61% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Al Orubah | Draw | Al-Hilal |
1-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.72% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 11.54% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 5.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 0-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.77% Total : 70.81% |
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