SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Abha had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Abha |
48.83% ( -0.59) | 23.63% ( 0.25) | 27.53% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( -0.91) | 42.87% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( -0.91) | 65.27% ( 0.91) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.57) | 17.7% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -1) | 48.36% ( 1) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.23) | 28.81% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.29) | 64.67% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Abha |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.53% |
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