Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Shabab Al Ahli Stadium
We said: Al Shabab 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Both sides do boast plenty of quality and will fight hard to return to winning ways on Thursday.
With Dembele's continued absence certainly hurting the visitors, we do not see Gerrard's men coming out on top on their travels and instead see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Riyadh.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
51.38% ( -0.02) | 25.06% ( 0) | 23.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.01) |
| 47.83% ( -0.01) | 52.17% ( 0.01) |
| 26.11% ( -0.01) | 73.88% ( 0.01) |
| 79.69% ( -0.01) | 20.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.32% ( -0.02) | 52.67% ( 0.02) |
| 62.94% ( 0) | 37.06% ( -0) |
