SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Shabab |
54.37% ( 0.17) | 22.68% ( -0.06) | 22.95% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.12) | 42.71% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( 0.12) | 65.11% ( -0.13) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( 0.1) | 15.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.33% ( 0.19) | 44.67% ( -0.19) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.04) | 32.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -0.04) | 68.89% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Shabab |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 22.95% |
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