SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Abha had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al Shabab |
33.12% ( -0.86) | 25.35% ( -0.01) | 41.52% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.18) | 47.82% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.16) | 70% ( 0.16) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.62) | 27.54% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( -0.8) | 63.05% ( 0.8) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.35) | 22.9% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.52) | 56.66% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al Shabab |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.52% |
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