SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Damac had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Al-Ahli |
35.55% ( -0) | 26.21% ( 0.01) | 38.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.06) | 51.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.05) | 72.98% ( 0.05) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.03) | 27.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.04) | 63.2% ( 0.04) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -0.03) | 26.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( -0.05) | 61.16% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.24% |
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