Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
