Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
