Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
