Montrose
2 - 1
Morton

(Greenock Morton win 4-3 on aggregate)

McLean (57'), Webster (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oliver (5')
Strapp (13')

The Match

Match Report

The other semi-final first leg saw Airdrie secure a 1-1 draw at Cove Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Greenock Morton
34.91%	26.37%	38.71%

Both teams to score 52.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.12%

51.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36%

73.63%

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59%

28.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85%

64.15%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81%

26.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72%

61.28%

Score Analysis

Montrose 34.91%

Greenock Morton 38.71%

Draw 26.37%

Montrose	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.71%