SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
| 15.86% | 22.71% | 61.42% |
| Both teams to score 45.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% | 52.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% | 74.29% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% | 45.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.37% | 81.63% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% | 16.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.39% | 46.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 5.97% 2-1 @ 4.16% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.86% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 13.71% 0-2 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-4 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 61.41% |
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