SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.97% ( 0.94) | 24.67% ( -0.5) | 36.36% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 2.28) | 44.17% ( -2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 2.18) | 66.55% ( -2.17) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 1.51) | 22.57% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( 2.19) | 56.17% ( -2.18) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.81) | 23.93% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( 1.14) | 58.15% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36% |
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