SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
48.03% ( 0.06) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 26.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.01) | 52.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 0.01) | 74.45% ( -0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.05) | 55.32% ( -0.05) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.04) | 35.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( -0.04) | 71.85% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.21% |
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