SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
42.26% ( 1.21) | 25.59% ( 0.29) | 32.15% ( -1.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( -1.69) | 49.14% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( -1.54) | 71.21% ( 1.54) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.14) | 23.12% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.02% ( -0.21) | 56.97% ( 0.21) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -1.77) | 28.81% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -2.27) | 64.66% ( 2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.15% |
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