SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
39.11% ( 0.52) | 26.65% ( 0.67) | 34.23% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( -2.94) | 53.12% ( 2.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( -2.55) | 74.69% ( 2.55) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -1.07) | 26.54% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -1.44) | 61.75% ( 1.44) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -2.15) | 29.43% ( 2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( -2.71) | 65.43% ( 2.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.86)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.23% |
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