SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
11.45% ( 0.02) | 17.31% ( 0.04) | 71.24% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.16) | 39.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -0.17) | 61.46% ( 0.17) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.07) | 44.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.73% ( -0.05) | 80.27% ( 0.05) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% ( -0.06) | 9.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.57% ( -0.14) | 32.42% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.18% Total : 11.45% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 9.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 71.24% |
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