Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.