Alloa
1 - 4
Dunfermline

Cawley (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dow (7'), O'Hara (67', 77', 90' pen.)

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The Pars won 4-1 at Alloa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
34.07%	26.49%	39.44%

Both teams to score 52.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52%

52.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85%

74.15%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83%

65.17%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93%

26.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88%

61.12%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 34.07%

Dunfermline Athletic 39.44%

Draw 26.49%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.44%