SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 40.99% | 26.17% | 32.84% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% | 51.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% | 73.23% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% | 24.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.67% | 59.33% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.84% |
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