Arbroath
2 - 1
Ayr

Craigen (36', 38')
Virtanen (58'), Thomson (67'), McKenna (86'), Hamilton (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baird (88')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Arbroath secure first win of season after victory over Ayr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
40.99%	26.17%	32.84%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58%

51.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77%

73.23%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67%

59.33%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5%

65.5%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 40.98%

Ayr United 32.84%

Draw 26.17%

Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.84%