Arbroath
1 - 3
Dunfermline

Hilson (65')
Ruth (56'), Little (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dow (28'), Murray (36'), O'Hara (82' pen.)
McManus (63')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
44.31%	28.18%	27.5%

Both teams to score 44.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.14%

60.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.11%

80.88%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17%

62.82%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.59%

38.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.84%

75.16%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 44.3%

Dunfermline Athletic 27.5%

Draw 28.17%

Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.45% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.5%