Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.