Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
