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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
A

Alloa
1 - 1
Arbroath

Cameron (90')
Grant (35'), Williamson (36'), Hetherington (66')
Grant (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (24')
O'Brien (73'), Craigen (78')
Craigen (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
36.1%25.42%38.48%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39%47.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18%69.82%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24%58.76%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 36.1%
    Arbroath 38.48%
    Draw 25.41%
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.48%

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