Alloa
1 - 1
Arbroath

Cameron (90')
Grant (35'), Williamson (36'), Hetherington (66')
Grant (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hamilton (24')
O'Brien (73'), Craigen (78')
Craigen (86')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Jack Hamilton's third goal in four games had put the Red Lichties ahead.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
36.1%	25.42%	38.48%

Both teams to score 56.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39%

47.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18%

69.82%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64%

24.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24%

58.76%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 36.1%

Arbroath 38.48%

Draw 25.41%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.46% Total : 36.1%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.48%