Arbroath
0 - 1
Hearts

McKenna (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wighton (70')
Lee (13')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Craig Wighton spent time on loan with the Smokies last season but now has four goals for promotion hopefuls Hearts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Hearts
37.16%	26.38%	36.45%

Both teams to score 52.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18%

51.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42%

73.58%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.39%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07%

62.93%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 37.16%

Hearts 36.45%

Draw 26.37%

Arbroath	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.16%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.45%