Hearts
3 - 1
Arbroath

Naismith (30', 33', 36' pen.)
Irving (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Doolan (48')
Hamilton (36')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Former Rangers attacker Steven Naismith opened the scoring on the half-hour mark.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 76.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Arbroath
76.22%	15.2%	8.58%

Both teams to score 46.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.66%

60.33%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.68%

8.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.99%

29%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.83%

49.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.93%

84.07%

Score Analysis

Hearts 76.2%

Arbroath 8.58%

Draw 15.2%

Hearts	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 12.64% 3-0 @ 10.48% 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.44% 4-0 @ 6.52% 4-1 @ 4.63% 5-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.64% 6-0 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.22% Total : 76.2%	1-1 @ 7.22% 0-0 @ 4.09% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.2%	0-1 @ 2.9% 1-2 @ 2.56% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.58%