Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
