Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
