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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22
Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
AU

Alloa
2 - 2
Ayr

Cameron (31'), Williamson (46')
Dick (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Walsh (15'), Robertson (76' og.)
Baird (26'), Moffat (34'), Barjonas (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
24.69%23.63%51.68%
Both teams to score 55.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82%45.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76%32.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26%68.74%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5%17.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99%48.01%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 24.69%
    Ayr United 51.68%
    Draw 23.63%
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-3 @ 4.98%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.68%

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