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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13
Mar 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Dens Park
AU

Dundee
1 - 3
Ayr

Sow (86')
Adam (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawAyr United
57.74%22.79%19.47%
Both teams to score 51.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46%47.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25%69.75%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.67%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49%38.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74%75.26%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 57.74%
    Ayr United 19.47%
    Draw 22.79%
DundeeDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.74%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 19.47%

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