SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
50.33% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0.02) | 24.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( 0.06) | 49.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( 0.06) | 71.93% ( -0.06) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.03) | 19.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( 0.05) | 51.95% ( -0.05) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( 0.03) | 34.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.62% ( 0.03) | 71.38% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.88% |
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